Since the NFL instituted an open week for NFL teams during the regular season, there has been much debate over whether or not it created and unfair advantage for the team coming off of a week of rest. In fact, many sports gamblers have touted this angle as a "can't miss" betting opportunity. There are arguments on both sides of the issue, from the week of rest gives a team a chance to heal old injuries and has them ready to go for their next game to the week of rest stifles a team that might have been on a roll previous.
I decided to take a look at some historical stats to see if a week of rest really does matter. Although the majority of teams (23 out of 32) didn't even produce double digit profits on $100 per wager, there were three teams that definitely need to be considered this season after an off week.
| ATS Records |
| Team |
W/L |
Profit/Loss |
| Denver |
19-6 |
+1240 |
| Philadelphia |
16-7 |
+830 |
| Arizona |
12-4 |
+760 |
| Dallas |
17-11 |
+490 |
| NY Jets |
12-8 |
+320 |
| Washington |
12-9 |
+210 |
| Minnesota |
11-9 |
+110 |
| Green Bay |
12-10 |
+100 |
| Oakland |
12-10 |
+100
|
| Houston |
3-2 |
+ 80 |
| Carolina |
8-7 |
+ 30 |
| Miami |
9-8 |
+ 20 |
| New Orleans |
10-9 |
+ 10 |
| Buffalo |
12-11 |
- 10 |
| Chicago |
12-11 |
- 10 |
| Tennessee |
12-10 |
- 10 |
| Detroit |
10-10 |
-100 |
| New England |
12-12 |
-120 |
| Cleveland |
3-4 |
-140 |
| Jacksonville |
7-8 |
-180 |
| Baltimore |
10-11 |
-210 |
| Indianapolis |
10-11 |
-210 |
| San Francisco |
12-13 |
-230 |
| Cincinnati |
8-10 |
-300 |
| San Diego |
9-11 |
-310 |
| Kansas City |
10-12 |
-320 |
| St. Louis |
10-12 |
-320 |
| Atlanta |
9-12 |
-420 |
| Pittsburgh |
12-15 |
-450 |
| Tampa Bay |
7-12 |
-620 |
| NY Giants |
8-13 |
-630 |
| Seattle |
5-16 |
-1260 |
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