The art of sports handicapping can take many forms. These forms can range anywhere from one owns sports knowledge, the use of trends and systems, to outright guessing. Using only one (other than guessing) can give you positive results but long term success lies in the use of every angle at your disposal. Although an arguement can been made that this season is as unpredictable as any has been in recent memory. There is some truth that, other than New England, anyone can get beat (or at least not cover) on any given Sunday. In tracking my own performance this season I have found that the most successful handicapping technique thus far this season has been the use of historical trends and angles. So, it's with that thought where I focus my attention again this week. Below are the top betting trends for Week 12: Top Trend #1: Playing a angainst home favorites of 10.5 or more points after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games who is winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season is 49-15 (76.6%) since 1983. Playing this angle over the last 3 seasons has produced a 7-4 ATS mark while it has gone 9-4 ATS over the L5 and, 15-5 ATS over the last 10.
Top Trend #2: Playing on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 who is off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season is 28-5 ATS (84.4%) since 1983. Play this angle over the L3 seasons has yieled a 6-1 ATS mark, 10-1 ATS mark over the L5, and a 14-4 ATS mark over the L10 Top Trend #3: Playing under with a home team after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in November games is 24-4 ATS (85.7%) over the last 5 seasons. This season this trend would have give you a 2-0 ATS mark, a 13-1 ATS mark over the last 3 seasons, and a 48-17 ATS mark over the L10. Last week Michael Alexander dominated the books going 4-2 with his GUARANTEED selections! For more winners this week join Michael at Alexandersports.
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