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NFL Week #1 Full Card of Predictions.....

Michael  Alexander
Michael Alexander

Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports.
By: Michael Alexander     Date: Sep 7, 2007
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Alright! The much anticipated NFL season kicked off last night when the defending Super Bowl Champion Indianapolis Colts totally dominated the New Orleans Saints in a 41-10 drubbing. The excitement of the first week of the NFL season continues on Sunday when all of the remaining teams, but 4, kick off their first games. Since there are so many games on one day there are mistakes made in lines and knowing each team and the matchups becomes the difference between a winning or losing weekend. In the interest of making this weekend profitable I have broken down each game this Sunday identifying any significant trends and/or betting angles. As I always say, these early selections will certainly make you money but things do change as game time approaches which could change my actual selection.

Kansas City at Houston: Houston had a great preseason but usually starts the year slow as witnessed by their 4-11 ATS mark in early games. However, Herm Edwards is only 2-10 SU and ATS when on the road versus a non-divisional opponent on the road. Prediction: Houston by 4

Denver at Buffalo: Buffalo is steadily improving and has done well as a dog versus non-divisional opponents going 10-1 ATS. However, is always tough in game 1 of the season going 10-4 SU and ATS. Prediction: Denver by 2

Pittsburgh at Cleveland: Cleveland will begin this season still with question marks on offense (should Quinn start). They also have a tough opening schedule as their first three home games are within their division. Top all of his turmoil off on the fact that Cleveland is 0-7 ATS including 0-4 ATS at home when playing Pittsburgh. Prediction: Pittsburgh by 6

Tennessee at Jacksonville: Jacksonville pulled a surprise move when they release WB Leftwich. This, in my opinion, should prove to be a good move as replacement Garrard is much more mobile and will put more pressure on defenses. Jacksonville is 8-0 ATS in game 1 and 19-9-1 ATS when a favorite of less than 10 points at home. Prediction: Jacksonville by 12

Carolina at St. Louis: Carolina didn't impress all that much in the presason but they are still a tough team to beat in any venue. The line appears to have St. Louis listed as a small favorite and if that stays keep in mind that Carolina is an unbelievable 15-2-1 ATS when they are any kind of an underdog. The Rams usually have trouble in game one as witnessed by their 1-5-1 ATS game one mark. Prediction: Carolina by 6

Philadelphia at Green Bay: McNabb has admittedly not been at 100% after his injury but none the less, there is little question that the Eagles are a much better team with him calling the signals. The Packers continue to hang on to the ancient Brett Favre. Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings versus Green Bay including 3-0 at Lambeau. The Packers are 6-72 ATS when they lose a game outright. Prediction: Philadelphia by 9

Atlanta at Minnesota: After the Michael Vick debacle everyone is looking at the Falcons to collapse this season. I am not in that camp as I believe they will have a better season than people think. Also, the Falcons 8-1 ATS in game one when listed as an underdog while Minnesota is 1-4 ATS when facing a non-divisional opponent at home. Prediction: Atlanta by 3

Miami at Washington: Joe Gibbs will be staring his fourth year at the helm of the Redskins and thus far has not produced the results that he did his first time around. Add that to the fact that the Redskins are a horrible 10-16-1 in all home openers including 3-10-1 ATS against non-divisional opponents. Miami isn't much better 2-8-1 in the first game of the season. Prediction: Washington by 2New England at NY Jets: The already formidable Patriot team bolstered their ranks even more when they went out and got several high profile players in the off season. Not much argument here that they should once again compete for a chance to go to the Super Bowl. The home team in this series is 2-14 ATS while Tom Brady is 26-9 ATS versus an AFC opponent. Prediction: New england by 9

Tampa Bay at Seattle: The Seattle offense struggled last season producing 6 less points per game than they did the previous year. It appears that they have upgraded their defense when they went and hired Jim Mora Jr. as their defense coordinator. Seattle is 10-5 ATS in home openers and 3-1 ATS the last two times that these two teams have met. Prediction: Seattle by 12

Chicago at San Diego: The Chargers go into this season with a new head coach in Norv Turner. That could spell problems in the first game here as Turner is 28-44 ATS in his coaching career as well as 1-10 ATS in season openers. However, the loser of the previous Super Bowl in their first road game of the season the following year is 1-10 ATS. Prediction: San Diego by 8

Detroit at Oakland: The Lions added another wide receiver to the lineup that should fit well into the high flying offense of Mike Martz. The Lions have had a good run in recent openers going 4-0 ATS. Since Oakland couldn't sign their #1 pick they look to Dante Culpepper as their QB. That is a problem since Culpepper is 13-27 ATS as a pick of favorite and 12-30 SU versus non-divisional opponents. Prediction: Detroit by 14

NY Giants at Dallas: Surprisingly, at least to me, the Cowboys went out in the off season and hired Wade Phillips as their replacement for Bill Parcells. The Giants are 6-0 ATS in their L6 in this series and 4-1 ATS their L5 in Big D. Manning has produced against the NFC East going 9-5-1 ATS. Dallas usually starts slow producing a 2-5 ATS mark the last 7 openers. Prediction: Dallas by 3

Last season Michael was the #1 Ranked NFL Capper at 10Starpicks.com and has a Huge card of Winners lined up for Sunday. Join Michael at www,alexandersports.com


 



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