A wise man once told me way back when I was trying to figure out how to manage people that "past behavior is an indicator of future performance." At the time I really didn't think much of his advice but as I got older I began to understand what he meant. So, after applying this principle to my managment career I began to incorporate it into my study of handicapping. What I found was a remarkable weapon to add to my arsenal to beat the books. Because after all, isn't any game just a combination of individuals looking to either confirm or put to rest past performances, good or bad? So, with that said, let's take a look at this weeks' top betting trends in College Football: Historical Trend #1: Playing on road teams who are off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival and are playing this week against and opponent who is off a blowout loss by 35 points or more to a conference rival is 27-3 ATS (90%) over the last 10 seasons. This season has produced a 2-0 ATS mark, is 6-0 ATS the L3 seasons and 10-2 ATS the L5. Historical Trend #2: Playing on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games who are off an upset loss as a double digit favorite is 40-9 ATS (81.6%) since 1992.
The trend this season is 4-0 ATS, 12-1 ATS the L3 seasons, 20-5 ATS the L5, and 30-7 ATS the L10. Historical Trend #3: Playing against road underdogs after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games who are playing and opponent after a win by 17 or more points is 45-12 ATS (78.9%) over the last 5 seasons. The trend's record this season is 10-3 ATS, 24-7 ATS the L3 seasons, and 78-35 ATS the L10. So there you have it! No matter what the issue and/or situation, history does tend to repeat itself so why not profit from it. Michael remains one of the top cappers on the net so join him at Alexandersports.com for more winners in the NHL, NBA, NCAAF, and NFL.
Click here to view all of Michael Alexander's premium picks.
Social Bookmarking
