As the College Football season rolls into the final month of the regular season teams are in the midst of their conference schedules and begin to take on some predictable trends. Even with this year being one of the most unpredictable in recent memory, profits are still out there to be made. One of the angles that a lot of handicappers use are betting on teams who they think will bounceback after a losing streak playing a team that seems to be on a roll. Conventional wisdom believes that losers will continues to lose and winners will continue to win. But, what happens to this theory/angle when you factor in the number? Let's take a look: Theory: Teams coming off two SU losses in a row playing teams who are coming off two SU wins in a row. Just expecting the losers to bounceback after two losses in row blindly would get you an uninspiring 52.6% ATS. If you like them as a dog your probability of winning just inches up to 53.6% ATS over the last five years. Tightener #1: The losing team is playing on their home turf. The "home cooking" sets in as teams in this position as a dog jump to a profitable 56% ATS. If they happen to be playing a conference opponent than we have something as this situation has produced 60% winners. Tightner #2: After these two losses and coming home they are also fortunate enough to have their next game home as well. This angle gives us the ultimate profit opportunity going a scorching 30-10 ATS since 2002. When you look at recent trends this angle has produced an even better 18-2 ATS since 2004. So what does all of this mean? This week look for teams who have had a tough time winning recently (2 game losing streak) getting to go home for their next two games and listed as a dog versus a conference opponent. There is money to be made!" Good luck this week and join Michael at www.Alexandersports.com for winning NCAAF, NFL, NHL, and NBA selections.
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